Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.019659 0.021508 0.023367 0.025375 0.027477 0.029610 0.031933
2025-07-20 0.015992 0.018863 0.021869 0.025232 0.028872 0.032674 0.036930
2025-07-27 0.013738 0.017154 0.020836 0.025060 0.029732 0.034708 0.040372
2025-08-03 0.012465 0.016326 0.020590 0.025578 0.031190 0.037251 0.044237
2025-08-10 0.011054 0.015193 0.019872 0.025451 0.031826 0.038802 0.046932
2025-08-17 0.009802 0.014131 0.019139 0.025218 0.032266 0.040067 0.049249
2025-08-24 0.008828 0.013319 0.018630 0.025181 0.032873 0.041475 0.051684
2025-08-31 0.007893 0.012483 0.018031 0.024984 0.033252 0.042585 0.053750
2025-09-07 0.007123 0.011798 0.017568 0.024909 0.033736 0.043788 0.055896
2025-09-14 0.006282 0.010958 0.016865 0.024499 0.033790 0.044466 0.057416
2025-09-21 0.005539 0.010193 0.016212 0.024115 0.033843 0.045116 0.058882
2025-09-28 0.004702 0.009233 0.015258 0.023313 0.033355 0.045102 0.059552
2025-10-05 0.004334 0.008945 0.015204 0.023683 0.034351 0.046912 0.062442
2025-10-12 0.003815 0.008402 0.014795 0.023595 0.034792 0.048079 0.064605
2025-10-19 0.003327 0.007855 0.014345 0.023425 0.035106 0.049075 0.066550
2025-10-26 0.003098 0.007695 0.014414 0.023924 0.036248 0.051063 0.069669
2025-11-02 0.002707 0.007232 0.014030 0.023801 0.036592 0.052074 0.071616
2025-11-09 0.002329 0.006747 0.013587 0.023578 0.036790 0.052894 0.073325
2025-11-16 0.002038 0.006382 0.013295 0.023541 0.037216 0.053983 0.075350
2025-11-23 0.001741 0.005967 0.012906 0.023352 0.037430 0.054802 0.077042
2025-11-30 0.001501 0.005628 0.012611 0.023280 0.037784 0.055785 0.078927
2025-12-07 0.001225 0.005170 0.012103 0.022886 0.037701 0.056214 0.080129
2025-12-14 0.000987 0.004749 0.011626 0.022517 0.037635 0.056653 0.081333